It’s Starting: Trump Just Triggered a Major Bull Signal

Global financial markets rallied sharply following President Trump’s announcement that planned tariffs on the European Union have been canceled, following a preliminary framework deal regarding Greenland. The move has significantly alleviated investor anxiety regarding potential trade conflicts with NATO allies, triggering a resurgence in bullish sentiment across major equity indices while cryptocurrency markets face divergent pressure.

Key Points

• Geopolitical Shift: President Trump canceled EU tariffs after advancing a deal framework concerning Greenland, removing a major source of market uncertainty.
• Regulatory Reform: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent pledged to dismantle regulatory hurdles for blockchain, stablecoins, and new payment systems.
• Equity Rally: S&P 500 futures rose 0.6%, with strong pre-market performance in technology stocks like AMD and Western Digital.
• Crypto Divergence: Despite positive regulatory news, Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced significant capital outflows of $700 million and $287 million, respectively.

Trade Policy and Market Reaction

The immediate catalyst for the market upturn was the neutralization of trade tensions between the United States and the European Union. Markets had previously priced in the risk of a renewed tariff war, but the administration’s pivot—contingent on negotiations involving Greenland—has restored investor confidence.

Following the news, S&P 500 futures climbed 0.6%, signaling a robust opening. Technical analysis suggests a "bullish engulfing" pattern on the charts, indicating a strong recovery and potential continuation of the uptrend. The NASDAQ also showed signs of recovery, aiming to open near the top of its current consolidation pattern.

While the broader indices surged, individual technology stocks demonstrated significant strength. AMD pre-market data indicated a rise to approximately $255, suggesting a breakout. Similarly, Western Digital has recorded gains of roughly 41% since early January, underscoring the appetite for hardware and storage technology sectors.

Treasury Signals Crypto Deregulation

In a significant development for the digital assets sector, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent delivered a strong message regarding the administration's stance on financial technology. Bessent emphasized a shift away from restrictive oversight toward a framework designed to empower American capital markets.

"We will take a close look at regulatory impediments to blockchain, stable coins, and new payment systems. And we will consider reforms to unleash the awesome power of the American capital markets. Americans deserve a financial services industry that works for all Americans, including and especially Main Street."

This commentary aligns with industry hopes for a more favorable operating environment for blockchain enterprises, potentially paving the way for wider institutional adoption of stablecoins and decentralized payment infrastructures.

Asset Class Divergence: Stocks vs. Crypto

Despite the supportive regulatory rhetoric from the Treasury, the cryptocurrency market has decoupled from the equity rally. Bitcoin and Ethereum have faced substantial selling pressure, contrasting sharply with the "risk-on" behavior seen in traditional stocks.

Data indicates that Bitcoin experienced a net outflow of $700 million in a single day, while Ethereum saw outflows of $287 million. Technical indicators show Bitcoin struggling to reclaim the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently hovering around the $90,000 level. Failure to close above key resistance levels—specifically $92,000 for Bitcoin and $3,150 for Ethereum—keeps short-term bearish trends in play.

Altcoin Performance

While major caps struggled, specific segments of the crypto market showed resilience:

• Solana: Bucked the outflow trend with $3 million in inflows, trading near $130. The ecosystem is seeing activity around its new "Seeker" mobile token.
• Canton: Exploring a potential breakout amid speculation regarding connections to the New York Stock Exchange.
• XRP: Bounced off a steep downtrend line, though it faces critical resistance levels that must be breached to confirm a reversal.

Market Outlook

As the trading week continues, investors will be monitoring whether the momentum in equities can sustain itself without participation from the digital asset sector. The divergence between stocks and crypto suggests a temporary capital rotation, yet the Treasury’s deregulatory stance provides a strong fundamental tailwind for blockchain assets in the medium term. The market’s focus now shifts to whether Bitcoin can recapture the 20-day EMA to realign with the broader macroeconomic recovery.