UBS reports Deutsche Bank is highly vulnerable due to a 30% exposure to unregulated private credit, far exceeding the European average. With manufacturing new orders declining, analysts warn a wave of shadow banking defaults could trigger broader financial sector instability.
The predictable 4-year crypto cycle is over. Analyst Peter Silva flags January 15, 2026, as a critical date for volatility, with a U.S. crypto bill vote and MSCI index decisions on firms like MicroStrategy set to create market turbulence for Bitcoin and related assets.
The crypto market's predictable four-year cycles are over, replaced by a complex landscape driven by global macro trends. Passive investing no longer works. To win in 2026, you need a 'stock picker's mentality'—a disciplined approach focused on deep conviction and careful selection.
As 2025 ends, the parabolic rally to $200k failed to materialize. With Bitcoin near $87k, analysts argue the traditional 4-year cycle is dead. Institutional capital and ETFs have fundamentally altered market structure, pushing expectations for a cycle peak into 2026.
Peace remains elusive in Niall Ferguson’s 2026 forecast. He argues we are entrenched in "Cold War II"—a structural rivalry between the U.S. and China driving conflicts from Ukraine to Taiwan. Expect continued instability and proxy wars rather than global unity.
Since 2019, logarithmic regression has defined Ethereum's price action, accurately predicting the 2022 lows. We analyze this model's trajectory and why it projects a "fair value" consolidation around $2,100 by 2026.
The era of blind accumulation is over. As we enter 2026, commodities are surging while crypto stagnates. Success requires a sophisticated approach: identifying assets driven by sovereign necessity and having the courage to short zombie projects.
