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How to Get and Evaluate Startup Ideas | Startup School

Table of Contents

Key Takeaways

  • The most common mistake founders make is building something that doesn't solve a real problem for users ("solution in search of a problem").
  • Great startup ideas typically come from problems founders have personally experienced or areas where they have domain expertise.
  • Three counterintuitive qualities that often make good startup ideas: ideas that are hard to get started, ideas in boring spaces, and ideas with existing competitors.
  • Most billion-dollar companies didn't start with a perfect idea but with a promising starting point that evolved over time.
  • There are two types of viable markets for startups: markets that are already large, and markets that are small but growing rapidly.

Understanding Common Startup Idea Mistakes

Solution in Search of a Problem (SISP)

  • Many founders start with a technology they find interesting (like AI) and then look for applications
  • This approach typically leads to solving problems that aren't actual pain points
  • If users don't care about the problem, they won't care about your solution
  • Better approach: Fall in love with a problem first, then develop solutions

Tar Pit Ideas

  • Common ideas that seem promising but have structural reasons why they're difficult or impossible to execute
  • Example: Apps for coordinating social meetups have been attempted for 20+ years with limited success
  • These ideas attract many founders because they're superficially plausible and address widespread problems
  • How to avoid tar pits:
    • Google your idea thoroughly to see previous attempts
    • Talk to founders who've worked on similar ideas
    • Understand the specific challenges that caused others to fail

Insufficient Idea Evaluation

  • Many founders jump into the first idea they have without proper evaluation
  • Equally dangerous: Waiting for the "perfect" idea (which doesn't exist)
  • The ideal approach is finding a balance - a strong starting point with potential to evolve
  • Think of ideas as starting points, not fixed destinations

Evaluating Startup Ideas: 10 Key Questions

1. Do you have founder-market fit?

  • Are you and your team the right people to solve this problem?
  • Example: PlanGrid founders combined construction industry expertise with technical skills
  • This is perhaps the most important criteria for startup success
  • Look for ideas where your unique background gives you an advantage

2. How big is the market?

  • Viable startup markets are either:
    • Large markets (billion+ dollars) that already exist
    • Small markets that are growing extremely rapidly
  • Example: Coinbase entered the Bitcoin trading market when it was tiny but growing exponentially

3. How acute is the problem?

  • The best problems are ones where:
    • The pain point is significant
    • Current solutions are inadequate or non-existent
  • Example: Brex identified that startups couldn't get corporate credit cards from traditional banks

4. Do you have competition?

  • Counter-intuitively, having competition often validates market demand
  • Most successful startups had competitors when they launched
  • For entrenched competitors, you need a unique insight or approach
  • No competition might indicate no market demand

5. Do you want this yourself? Do you know people who want it?

  • If neither you nor people you know want your solution, that's concerning
  • Direct personal experience with the problem creates better understanding
  • Talk to potential users early and often

6. Has this recently become possible or necessary?

  • Great opportunities often arise from recent changes:
    • New technologies
    • Regulatory changes
    • Market shifts
  • Example: Checkr built background check APIs when on-demand economy companies needed to screen workers at scale

7. Are there proxies for success?

  • A proxy is a similar business succeeding in a different market
  • Example: Rappi saw food delivery working in the US and adapted it to Latin America
  • Proxies validate that the business model can work

8. Is this an idea you'd want to work on for years?

  • Initial excitement about an idea often fades
  • Success is more about execution than the initial concept
  • Many initially "boring" ideas become compelling as they gain traction

9. Is this a scalable business?

  • Pure software businesses scale well
  • Services requiring high-skill human labor often don't scale
  • Be cautious of businesses that require intensive human operations

10. Is this a good idea space?

  • An "idea space" is a class of related startup ideas
  • Different idea spaces have dramatically different success rates
  • Choosing a fertile idea space improves chances of finding adjacent opportunities
  • Example: Fintech infrastructure and enterprise SaaS have had high success rates

Counter-Intuitive Qualities of Good Startup Ideas

Ideas That Are Hard to Get Started

  • Barriers to entry can be an advantage - they deter competition
  • Example: Stripe required complex banking relationships and credit card infrastructure knowledge
  • These challenges deterred others, leaving a massive opportunity for founders willing to tackle them

Ideas in Boring Spaces

  • Unsexy industries often have major untapped opportunities
  • Example: Gusto revolutionized payroll software in a "boring" space
  • Boring ideas have less competition than trendy ones
  • Once execution begins, the day-to-day work is similar regardless of how "exciting" the idea sounds

Ideas with Existing Competitors

  • Markets with competitors but no dominant player often indicate opportunity
  • Example: Dropbox was the 20th cloud storage company but succeeded with better UX
  • Many competitors + low adoption = unsolved problem with market demand
  • Look for spaces where competitors exist but haven't nailed the solution

Generating Startup Ideas

Organic vs. Deliberate Idea Generation

  • 70% of YC's top 100 companies found ideas organically rather than through deliberate brainstorming
  • Deliberate brainstorming often leads to "tar pit" ideas
  • Long-term strategies to position yourself for organic ideas:
    • Become an expert in a valuable field
    • Work at startups to gain domain expertise
    • Build things you find interesting, even if they're not businesses yet

Seven Recipes for Finding Ideas

1. Start with what your team is especially good at

  • Leverage your unique expertise
  • Ensures automatic founder-market fit
  • Example: Rezi founders used their real estate and financing expertise

2. Start with problems you've personally encountered

  • Look for problems you're in a unique position to understand
  • Example: Vetcove founders saw inefficient veterinary supply purchasing through family experience
  • Action plan: Systematically review all jobs, internships, and life experiences

3. Think of things you personally wish existed

  • Classic approach used by many successful founders
  • Example: DoorDash founders wanted food delivery to their Stanford dorms
  • Warning: Verify that there isn't a structural reason why it doesn't exist yet

4. Look for recent changes creating new opportunities

  • Identify shifts in technology, regulations, or behaviors
  • Example: Gather Town pivoted to virtual spaces when the pandemic changed how people interact
  • Stay alert to inflection points and timing opportunities

5. Find successful companies and look for new variants

  • Apply proven models to new markets or niches
  • Example: Nuvo Cargo applied Flexport's model to Latin American imports
  • Evaluate ideas analytically based on market size and proxies

6. Talk to people about their problems

  • Interview potential users in a targeted idea space
  • Example: A-to-B founders visited truck stops to talk directly with drivers
  • Combine with research and conversations with industry experts

7. Look for big industries that seem broken

  • Large broken industries are ripe for disruption
  • Search for inefficiencies and pain points in established markets

Bonus: Find a Co-founder with an Idea

  • Many potential co-founders already have ideas they're developing
  • Platforms like YC's co-founder matching can connect you with idea-holders

Final Thoughts

  • It's often difficult to know if a startup idea is good without testing it
  • The best way to validate an idea is to launch it and get market feedback
  • When in doubt, build an MVP and see if users respond positively
  • Ideas evolve substantially during execution - focus on starting with a promising direction

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